Matteo Arnaldi Poised to Triumph Over Tomas Machac in Rome Clay Court Clash
On Thursday, May 9, the Internazionali BNL d’Italia will witness a captivating encounter between Tomas Machac and Matteo Arnaldi. Despite Machac’s 2-0 head-to-head advantage, experts predict Arnaldi to cover a small game spread in his home Masters 1000 event.
Arnaldi, a native of Sanremo, Italy, will enjoy the unwavering support of the Roman crowd. Moreover, his proven prowess on clay gives him an edge over Machac. While Machac has achieved notable success, his clay-court record stands at a modest 5-6 at the ATP level. In contrast, Arnaldi boasts a 13-11 record on clay in his ATP career, including five Challenger-level tournament victories.
Both players possess similar baselining styles with aggressive tendencies. However, Arnaldi’s ability to generate heavy topspin from his forehand will be a formidable weapon in the slow clay-court conditions. Additionally, Arnaldi’s superior serve on clay (77.4% hold percentage) compared to Machac’s 69.2% will give him an advantage.
The passionate Italian crowd is known to inspire their players, and Arnaldi is expected to thrive in this atmosphere. His game is better suited to the clay surface, and the home crowd support will provide him with an extra boost.
Experts recommend backing Arnaldi to cover a 2.5-game spread (-111) in this highly anticipated match. The Italian’s clay-court experience, aggressive forehand, and the support of the Roman crowd make him the favorite to emerge victorious.