Matteo Berrettini, the 2021 Wimbledon finalist, will face off against Holger Rune at the Cincinnati Open on Wednesday. This intriguing clash of styles promises to be a captivating spectacle.
Berrettini, known for his straightforward approach, relies on his powerful serve and forehand to dominate his opponents. His 92% hold percentage over the past year is a testament to his exceptional serving prowess. Rune, on the other hand, is a player of immense variety, often experimenting with different shots and tactics.
Despite Rune’s versatility, Berrettini’s consistency and experience should give him an edge in this matchup. Berrettini’s serve is a formidable weapon, and Rune’s low break percentage of 17.9% this season suggests he may struggle to break Berrettini’s serve consistently.
Furthermore, Berrettini’s return game is slightly superior to Rune’s, and Rune’s holding percentage on hard courts is a modest 82.4%. The quicker conditions in Cincinnati may also limit Rune’s ability to exploit his variety, as Berrettini prefers shorter points.
Rune’s recent record against Top 10 opponents is also a concern. Despite Berrettini’s current ranking of No. 42, his 2024 performances have been comparable to his form in 2021 and 2022, when he was ranked as high as No. 6.
Overall, Berrettini’s consistency, experience, and suitability to the Cincinnati conditions make him the favorite in this matchup. A potential third-round meeting with Carlos Alcaraz would be a fascinating test of Berrettini’s credentials as a contender for the 2024 US Open title.
