The Mutua Madrid Open semifinals will witness a captivating clash between Taylor Fritz and Andrey Rublev on Friday, May 3. This unexpected matchup has emerged as the more intriguing semifinal, overshadowing the other featuring Felix Auger-Aliassime and Jiri Lehecka.
Fritz holds a significant advantage in recent encounters, having triumphed over Rublev in four of their last five meetings. Notably, all these victories came on hard courts, including a 6-2, 7-6 (3) win at the Laver Cup last September. However, Rublev secured a 5-7, 6-1, 6-3 victory in their lone clay-court encounter in Monte Carlo last year.
Despite Rublev’s impressive serve percentage of 90.9% in 2024, Fritz possesses a more reliable serve and has the ability to punish second serves. Additionally, Fritz’s superior backhand and ability to hold his own from the forehand side give him an edge in this matchup.
The altitude in Madrid favors power players like Fritz, who has enjoyed success at this event in recent years. The American’s ability to control the baseline and dictate the pace of the match will be crucial against Rublev’s powerful groundstrokes.
Overall, Fritz appears to be the more favorable choice in this semifinal. His head-to-head advantage, combined with his suitability to the Madrid conditions, makes him a strong contender for a spot in the final.
