Lorenzo Sonego Poised to Upset Ugo Humbert in Monte Carlo Masters Round of 16
On Thursday, April 11, Lorenzo Sonego will face world No. 15 Ugo Humbert in the Round of 16 at the Monte Carlo Masters. While Humbert holds a higher ranking, Sonego’s impressive clay-court record and head-to-head advantage suggest he has a strong chance of pulling off an upset.
Humbert’s overall record in 2024 is impressive, but his performance on clay has been lackluster. With a career record of just 11-24 on the surface, he has struggled to find his footing. In contrast, Sonego boasts a 49-47 record on clay, demonstrating his proficiency on the red dirt.
Over the past 52 weeks, Humbert’s clay-court record stands at 3-6, while Sonego has compiled an 11-9 record. This disparity highlights Sonego’s superior clay-court skills.
The head-to-head history between the two players further favors Sonego. He holds a 2-0 record against Humbert on clay, including a victory in this very tournament last year. Sonego’s ability to neutralize Humbert’s big serve and exploit his weaknesses on clay gives him a significant advantage.
Despite Sonego’s struggles in recent months, he has shown signs of improvement. In his previous match, he broke Felix Auger-Aliassime three times, demonstrating his ability to break down strong servers.
While Humbert remains the favorite, Sonego’s clay-court prowess, head-to-head advantage, and recent form suggest he has a real chance of winning this match. Bettors should consider backing Sonego to win at least one set or even to win the match outright.