Taylor Fritz’s historic run at the US Open has reached the final hurdle, but he faces an insurmountable challenge in world No. 1 Jannik Sinner. Fritz, the last American man standing, aims to end a 21-year drought since Andy Roddick’s 2003 triumph. However, Sinner’s dominance on hard courts and superior all-around game make him a formidable opponent.
Fritz’s path to the final has been marked by resilience and determination. He overcame a two-set deficit against Frances Tiafoe in the semifinals, showcasing his fighting spirit. However, Sinner presents a different level of challenge. The Italian has a higher hold percentage, is a better returner, and possesses superior groundstrokes and movement.
Sinner’s recent form on hard courts is impeccable. He boasts a 38-2 record in 2024, including a victory over Fritz in Indian Wells last year. His ability to control the pace of the game and dictate rallies from both wings makes him a formidable opponent for Fritz’s serve-and-volley style.
While the home crowd will undoubtedly rally behind Fritz, Sinner’s experience in handling hostile environments, as evidenced in his match against Tommy Paul, suggests that he will not be fazed by the atmosphere.
Fritz’s best chance of success lies in playing aggressively and taking risks. He must serve consistently and effectively, while also finding ways to break down Sinner’s defense. However, Sinner’s superior court coverage and ability to neutralize Fritz’s power make it difficult to envision the American winning more than a set or two.
The story of an American breaking through at a major on home soil is compelling, but the odds are stacked against Fritz. Sinner’s dominance on hard courts and all-around superiority make him the clear favorite. While Fritz deserves credit for his remarkable run, Sinner is simply a better player at this stage.
