Sabalenka Faces Montgomery Challenge in Madrid, Over 18.5 Games Expected
Two-time Mutua Madrid Open champion Aryna Sabalenka faces a potential upset in the second round against rising American star Robin Montgomery. Despite Sabalenka’s pedigree, Montgomery’s recent form and Sabalenka’s recent struggles suggest a competitive match.
Montgomery, 19, has impressed with her powerful baseline game and aggressive return. She enters the match on a winning streak, while Sabalenka has shown signs of vulnerability in her recent outings.
Sabalenka’s tendency to self-sabotage has been evident in her recent losses. Against Marketa Vondrousova in Stuttgart, she squandered a first-set lead with unforced errors and a shaky serve. Similar issues plagued her in her first match in Madrid against Magda Linette.
Montgomery’s ability to exploit Sabalenka’s weaknesses is a major concern. The American’s left-handed power and aggressive return game could force Sabalenka into errors. Montgomery’s own serve can also be a weapon, potentially giving her an advantage in service games.
While Sabalenka’s power can be overwhelming, Montgomery’s willingness to match her shot for shot could prolong the match. Montgomery’s ability to stay in rallies and force Sabalenka to work for points could lead to a higher game count.
Given Sabalenka’s recent struggles and Montgomery’s potential to push her, the Over 18.5 Games bet is a reasonable choice. Sabalenka’s tendency to gift games to her opponents, combined with Montgomery’s ability to extend rallies, suggests that the match will likely go the distance.
